Chris Davis Deal Will Set Orioles Back For Years

The Orioles re-signing of Chris Davis was a commitment to winning. It was a signal to the fans that Peter Angelos is willing to make a major investment to improve the ball club. It was a sign of hope.

Unfortunately it’s false hope.

The Orioles successfully bid against themselves and landed a player who will do nothing to make the team better than they were in 2015. It will be more of the same old, same old.

And in the end Davis’ 7 year, $161M deal will in the not-to-distant future represent a noose around the collective neck of Dan Duquette, Buck Showalter & Co.

Yes I get that $42M of the deal is deferred and that the optimist will suggest that such a deferral will allow the team to make more moves.

Are you sure?

This is Peter Angelos we are talking about.

Maybe the deferred structure is the only one that Pete would sign off on.

But that aside, $161M later have the Orioles improved?

Most would agree that the primary goal of the offseason was to improve pitching and team speed. After all the Orioles for years have been a very one-dimensional team that is heavily dependent upon long flies to be successful. They don’t steal, advance runners or even remotely play small ball.

And their formula for winning fails when it counts the most in October.

[COUNTERPOINT: Davis is Right Player at Right Price for Orioles]

When the colder weather sets in and the ball doesn’t fly as far through the autumn air; when the pitching is more intense; when the best teams in baseball compress their rotation to their top three starters; when teams’ scouting reports are as thorough as ever, detailing the weaknesses of opponents – exposing the holes in Chris Davis’ swing.

It’s then that the Orioles will be reminded of their bad investment in Davis.

stats

There’s little doubt that when he heats up Davis can carry a club. Yet you have to wonder if the Orioles are paying Davis for what he’s done and not what we can expect from him going forward.

When the Orioles take the field in April Davis will be 30 years old. He’ll be 37 when the contract concludes. Is it reasonable to expect Davis to produce like he did in 2013 and 2015 throughout the duration of his contract? And even if he does it doesn’t necessarily translate into team wins. When he hit 53 bombs in 2013 the Orioles finished 3rd. Last season when he went yard 47 times they finished at .500.

But when Davis struggled in 2014 finishing with a .196 batting average, 26 home runs and 72 RBI, AND on the shelf from mid-September through the balance of the season due to a 25-game suspension stemming from the improper use of Adderall, the Orioles had their best season since 1997, winning the AL East with 96 wins and advancing to the ALCS.

stats

It’s nice to see that Mr. Angelos still has a pulse and that he dusted off his checkbook.

But the investment is all wrong. The money should have been spent on other players.

And when buyer’s remorse sets in – and it will, you have to wonder how it will affect upcoming negotiations with Adam Jones and Manny Machado.

Remember how Pete kept his wallet hidden for a long time following the Albert Belle signing?

This Davis contract should scare you. It could cost them Adam and/or Manny down the road.

It did NOTHING to improve the Orioles.

Coincidentally the signing took place on the anniversary of another significant Orioles acquisition of another Davis – Glenn Davis.

And in the end it could be just as costly.

One Cheer about “Chris Davis Deal Will Set Orioles Back For Years

  1. avatarDante Rebori on said:

    Some good points made here. But I really like Chris Davis and am glad he’s staying. Let’s hope Peter Angelos doesn’t feel like this was all he needed to do. This is high stakes poker anymore and the frugal rarely win big. 2016 will be my 56th season as an Orioles fan, even though I’ve always lived in Missouri. I’m O Positive in blood type and O’s positive in my outlook on baseball.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Hot off the street

Who (Else) Could be on the Move for the Birds?
Who (Else) Could be on the Move for the Birds?

A Quantitative Analysis of the Birds Before the Trade Deadline We’re now past the halfway point of the 2019 MLB Season and trade rumors are already swirling. I don’t expect Mike Elias to be as ...read more

2019 Orioles Now Shooting for 54.5 Wins
2019 Orioles Now Shooting for 54.5 Wins

The writing was on the wall long ago. Every Orioles fan knew that 2019 was going to be a trying season as the club enters a long, arduous rebuild. But as the All-Star break comes and goes, Baltimore...read more

Seven Predictions for the Second Half
Seven Predictions for the Second Half

The All-Star break has come to an end and it’s time for real Major League Baseball games to start back up. With that said, I’d like to have a little fun with some bold - and some not so bold - pre...read more

O’s Should Acquire (and Flip) Hechavarria
O’s Should Acquire (and Flip) Hechavarria

Griesser's Suggested Change of the Week As I outlined recently, the 2019 Baltimore Orioles are not going to have a particularly active trade deadline. While the team is in no position to buy and like...read more

John Means Was the Most Deserving O’s All-Star
John Means Was the Most Deserving O’s All-Star

While many O's fans are still stinging that Trey Mancini was "snubbed" for the 2019 All-Star Game in favor of John Means, the fact is that Means had just as much of an argument for being included on t...read more

View More